"Long ago, Sir Isaac Newton gave us three laws of motion, which were the work of genius. But Sir Isaac's talents didn't extend to investing: He lost a bundle in the South Sea Bubble, explaining later, 'I can calculate the movement of the stars, but not the madness of men.' If he had not been traumatized by this loss, Sir Isaac might well have gone on to discover the Fourth Law of Motion: For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases." - Warren Buffet
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Financials
The financial sector is the 2nd biggest sector in the SPX. I am not sure if I am fighting the last war though when trying to avoid it as the circle of competence does not include any of it. I lived through the 2008 and it seems everything can dissappear even if it's not your fault. The leverage is always necessary making the quality of earnings low. Then again, CM's two biggest positions at Daily Journal was BAC and WFC.
The sub-categories I would brand financials into are
Big banks: BAC, WFC, C, ALLY,
Credit Cards/Payment Processsors/Fintech: V, MA, SYF, AXP, COP, DFS, PYPL, FISV, GPN, FOUR,
Insurance divided into PC, reinsurance, specialty insurance, diversified into life/annuity,
It is too hard to understand all the risks it has with its mismatching of assets/liabilities of borrowing long and lending short, counterparty risks, and unknown unknowns.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment