"Long ago, Sir Isaac Newton gave us three laws of motion, which were the work of genius. But Sir Isaac's talents didn't extend to investing: He lost a bundle in the South Sea Bubble, explaining later, 'I can calculate the movement of the stars, but not the madness of men.' If he had not been traumatized by this loss, Sir Isaac might well have gone on to discover the Fourth Law of Motion: For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases." - Warren Buffet
Saturday, April 26, 2025
I Hate Bonds
Warren once said that bonds that were once "priced as risk-free return were now return-free risks." Yes, he might have changed his mind with the recent increase in yields to combat inflation by the Fed, but that statement has always poignant in my mind. I have always abhored bonds as "safe." I try not to be risk-averse or risk-loving, but risk-neutral. I think one day when I need to transtion to have some stability to anchor the portfolio, it will not be in bonds. It will be in stalwarts, but the downfall of UNH and PEP leads me to ask are they just like the bonds in the past. Risk is not knowing what you are doing. Maybe there will be a stalwart, but every portion of the portfolio should be a well-priced risk.
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