“The first rule of fishing is fish where the fish are.”- Charlie MungerI think before thinking of a geographic region, a sector might be more fundamental. Terry Smith's ideas of fishing in the 3 sectors of consumer products, healthcare and technology is due to the enduring ROIC of those three. The enduring ROIC of those three is from its moat(s) that provide it with a competitive advantage and pricing power. My fondness for tangible wealth is silly at times and leads me to energy, material and cable companies. Those three sectors require a tremendous amount of capital expenditure and its pricing power is almost non-existent due to commodity cycles. Even cable as it works against the wheels of technology when access gets cheaper over time. This is compared to sectors I should look at with light-asset companies that have pricing power due to its structure. I need to get the structure right from the foundation of the building. It is hard to change habits though as evidenced by my infatuation in my portfolio with energy and increasingly material. It is difficult to know something about technology and medicine, but I can start learning from consumer products as I am a consumer. Medicine will need to be worked on and maybe I can see patterns from the two in technology one day.
"Long ago, Sir Isaac Newton gave us three laws of motion, which were the work of genius. But Sir Isaac's talents didn't extend to investing: He lost a bundle in the South Sea Bubble, explaining later, 'I can calculate the movement of the stars, but not the madness of men.' If he had not been traumatized by this loss, Sir Isaac might well have gone on to discover the Fourth Law of Motion: For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases." - Warren Buffet
Saturday, January 25, 2025
Where to Fish
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment